Latest trade
Aug 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:57 AM UTC.
Analytics
Dramatic-Defender is down $80.39 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 48 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-14 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:57 AM UTC.
$8.84 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 46 markets; 96.0% were buys. They run from Feb 23, 2026 UTC to Aug 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 14.33 | $0.838 | $13.11 | +$1.1 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 2.87 | $0.940 | $2.7 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-14 11:47 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 01:57 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 01:57 UTC
polymarket positions
50 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-14 11:47 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $135.45 and losing ones cost $147.57 across 48 settled positions. 77.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $19.81 on “Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $50.22 on “Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Aug 2026. It has traded 60 markets. Its open positions are worth $15.04 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 40.6 |
| $0.172 |
| $1.93 |
| -$5.07 |
| buy |
| 15.15 |
| $0.660 |
| $10 |
| Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 14.12 | $0.850 | $12 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 12.81 | $0.937 | $12 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 11.67 | $0.840 | $9.8 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
 Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 12.07 | $0.740 | $8.93 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 2.66 | $0.830 | $2.21 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.21 | $0.983 | $2.17 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.075 | $2.03 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 25.99 | $0.079 | $2.05 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.097 | $2.04 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.113 | $2.03 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.165 | $1.98 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.167 | $2 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.790 | $14.1 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.008 | $0.2 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Yes | buy | 20.26 | $0.740 | $14.99 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes | buy | 15.18 | $0.900 | $13.66 | May 3, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETDown | buy | 2.1 | $0.510 | $1.07 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETUp | buy | 8.5 | $0.550 | $4.68 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.350 | $5.25 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 18.91 | $0.640 | $12.1 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.4 | $0.877 | $10 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.24 | $0.900 | $12.82 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes | buy | 7.75 | $0.680 | $5.27 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes | buy | 13.72 | $0.989 | $13.57 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETDown | buy | 5.37 | $0.920 | $4.94 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 12.9 | $0.942 | $12.15 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes | buy | 12.15 | $0.910 | $11.06 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETDown | buy | 11.05 | $0.930 | $10.28 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 10.29 | $0.970 | $9.99 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETDown | buy | 9.97 | $0.920 | $9.18 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown | buy | 9.2 | $0.950 | $8.74 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETUp | buy | 4.92 | $0.700 | $3.44 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp | buy | 3.52 | $0.910 | $3.2 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETDown | buy | 3.16 | $0.640 | $2.02 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETUp | buy | 2.06 | $0.649 | $1.33 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETUp | buy | 16.45 | $0.590 | $9.71 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.800 | $15 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp | buy | 9.14 | $0.530 | $4.84 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | buy | 21.72 | $0.499 | $10.84 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 24.44 | $0.810 | $19.8 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 24?Yes | buy | 8.82 | $0.760 | $6.7 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.