Latest trade
May 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 10:35 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
quantmancer is down $11.79 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
May 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 10:35 PM UTC.
$2.05 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 24 markets; 36.0% were buys. They run from May 10, 2026 UTC to May 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
No chart history is available for this wallet yet.
The Sources tab shows which records are available.
Open positions could not be confirmed. Missing data does not mean this wallet holds no positions.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 5.19 | $0.430 | $2.23 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-17 02:41 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-27 22:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 22:35 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Its most recent trade on record was on 17 May 2026. It has traded 34 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 5.44 |
| $0.440 |
| $2.39 |
| May 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.33 | $0.291 | $1.84 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | sell | 36.62 | $0.081 | $2.98 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?Yes | sell | 14.52 | $0.140 | $2.03 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?Yes | buy | 14.53 | $0.180 | $2.62 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.25 | $0.120 | $1.83 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 5.17 | $0.440 | $2.27 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.25 | $0.170 | $2.59 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 36.66 | $0.100 | $3.67 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 40.53 | $0.070 | $2.84 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.44 | $0.500 | $2.72 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 40.62 | $0.090 | $3.66 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.35 | $0.360 | $2.29 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.58 | $0.024 | $0.23 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.370 | $4.44 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?Yes | sell | 6.03 | $0.230 | $1.39 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | sell | 6.07 | $0.320 | $1.94 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 11.44 | $0.140 | $1.6 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 5.08 | $0.446 | $2.27 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.51 | $0.270 | $2.3 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 33.78 | $0.060 | $2.03 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.3 | $0.160 | $1.97 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 4.86 | $0.380 | $1.85 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.63 | $0.270 | $1.79 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 5.35 | $0.440 | $2.35 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 5.33 | $0.440 | $2.35 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.08 | $0.366 | $1.86 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.650 | $3.27 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.81 | $0.250 | $1.45 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.49 | $0.230 | $1.49 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?Yes | buy | 6.05 | $0.240 | $1.45 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 6.09 | $0.340 | $2.07 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.3 | $0.180 | $3.66 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.83 | $0.320 | $1.87 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.91 | $0.330 | $1.62 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.35 | $0.092 | $1.87 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.47 | $0.170 | $1.95 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | sell | 19.71 | $0.120 | $2.37 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.389 | $1.98 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.52 | $0.230 | $1.96 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 33.86 | $0.070 | $2.37 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.93 | $0.420 | $2.07 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.227 | $1.14 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.32 | $0.190 | $2.34 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No | sell | 5.32 | $0.520 | $2.77 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.51 | $0.310 | $2.02 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.92 | $0.190 | $1.69 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.43 | $0.180 | $1.52 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 5.22 | $0.410 | $2.14 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.