Latest trade
Jul 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:55 PM UTC.
Analytics
15963258 has made $12.12 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:55 PM UTC.
$12.06 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 48 markets; 96.0% were buys. They run from Jan 31, 2026 UTC to Jul 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-20 07:39 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 22:55 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 22:55 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-20 07:39 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $85.82 and losing ones cost $53.82 across the latest 50 settled positions. 26% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $12.33 on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $9.52 on “Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Jul 2026. It has traded 120 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.01 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 10.87 |
| $0.870 |
| $9.46 |
| Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No | buy | 9.47 | $0.993 | $9.4 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No | buy | 9.47 | $0.994 | $9.41 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No | buy | 9.41 | $0.933 | $8.78 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No | buy | 8.78 | $0.720 | $6.32 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.640 | $4.1 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8?Yes | sell | 427.58 | $0.001 | $0.43 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8?Yes | sell | 2.57K | $0.001 | $2.57 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No | buy | 4.39 | $0.949 | $4.17 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.985 | $4 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.920 | $3.78 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.983 | $3.71 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?No | buy | 3.71 | $0.920 | $3.41 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 12.54 | $0.979 | $12.28 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 12.27 | $0.999 | $12.26 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on April 8?No | buy | 12.26 | $0.999 | $12.25 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 17?No | buy | 12.45 | $0.999 | $12.44 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 16?No | buy | 12.44 | $0.999 | $12.43 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 14?No | buy | 12.42 | $0.999 | $12.41 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 13?No | buy | 12.41 | $0.998 | $12.39 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 12?No | buy | 12.39 | $0.999 | $12.38 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 11?No | buy | 12.37 | $0.998 | $12.35 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on March 10?No | buy | 12.36 | $0.997 | $12.32 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 9?No | buy | 12.31 | $0.999 | $12.3 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on March 5?No | buy | 12.3 | $0.999 | $12.29 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on March 4?No | buy | 12.29 | $0.998 | $12.27 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?No | buy | 12.26 | $0.999 | $12.25 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 2?No | buy | 12.25 | $0.998 | $12.23 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on March 1?No | buy | 12.23 | $0.999 | $12.22 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 12.21 | $0.999 | $12.2 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on February 27?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.999 | $12.19 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 26?No | buy | 12.19 | $0.999 | $12.18 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 25?No | buy | 12.18 | $0.999 | $12.17 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on February 18?Yes | buy | 12.17 | $0.999 | $12.16 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Solana be above $60 on February 14?Yes | buy | 12.15 | $0.999 | $12.14 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on February 13?No | buy | 12.14 | $0.998 | $12.12 | Feb 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 12?Yes | buy | 12.12 | $0.999 | $12.11 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on February 11?Yes | buy | 12.1 | $0.998 | $12.08 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on February 9?Yes | buy | 12.08 | $0.997 | $12.04 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.10 on February 8?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.999 | $12.04 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.20 on February 7?No | buy | 12.04 | $0.992 | $11.94 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on February 6?No | buy | 11.94 | $0.999 | $11.93 | Feb 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on February 5?No | buy | 11.93 | $0.999 | $11.92 | Feb 5, 2026 UTC |
 Tria FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 11.91 | $0.994 | $11.84 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on February 3?No | buy | 11.84 | $0.999 | $11.83 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on February 2?No | buy | 11.83 | $0.999 | $11.82 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on February 1?No | buy | 11.82 | $0.999 | $11.81 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 31?No | buy | 11.81 | $0.999 | $11.8 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.