Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | buy | 47.51 | $0.530 | $25.18 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 128.2 |
| $0.018 |
| $2.31 |
| Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?No | sell | 113.63 | $0.015 | $1.74 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.232 | $21.12 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | buy | 52.91 | $0.425 | $22.51 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?Yes | sell | 103.58 | $0.140 | $14.5 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.004 | $8.01 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 467.27 | $0.022 | $10.28 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Was JFK assassination an inside job?Yes | sell | 285.71 | $0.036 | $10.29 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 500.45 | $0.022 | $11.01 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.132 | $11.01 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?Yes | buy | 103.59 | $0.170 | $17.61 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Evidence released proving JFK assassination was an inside job by Feb 10?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.044 | $5 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.029 | $10 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 689.66 | $0.029 | $20 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 69.44 | $0.072 | $5 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.250 | $40 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?Yes | buy | 98.61 | $0.380 | $37.47 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.165 | $15 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Was JFK assassination an inside job?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 8.67K | $0.009 | $78.05 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 572.5 | $0.170 | $97.55 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 123 | $0.130 | $15.99 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 44.44 | $0.360 | $16 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 152.94 | $0.170 | $26 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | sell | 19.11 | $0.750 | $14.33 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.770 | $11.67 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 19.12 | $0.510 | $9.75 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 22.68 | $0.430 | $9.75 | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 22.68 | $0.441 | $10 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Megaquake in November?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump win 7 swing states?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.990 | $15 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.998 | $20.96 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Miami?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.998 | $22.67 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 7 swing states?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 5 swing states?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.127 | $10.6 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 7 swing states?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.200 | $3.12 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 6 swing states?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.110 | $7.33 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 153.84 | $0.110 | $16.92 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 7 swing states?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 6 swing states?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 5 swing states?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Get out and vote" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Oct 19, 2024 |