Latest trade
Mar 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 4:58 PM UTC.
Analytics
Satisfied-Signal is down $11.34 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 35 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-10 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 4:58 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 32 markets; 78.0% were buys. They run from Jan 11, 2026 UTC to Mar 5, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 16.08 | $0.622 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-10 04:38 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 16:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 16:58 UTC
polymarket positions
37 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-10 04:38 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $58 and losing ones cost $31.94 across 35 settled positions. 74.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $9.2 on “Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $6.84 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7PM ET” (Down).
Its most recent trade on record was on 5 Mar 2026. It has traded 42 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 981.01 |
| $0.021 |
| $20.13 |
| Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Yes | buy | 407.41 | $0.027 | $11 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Yes | buy | 573.61 | $0.026 | $15 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | sell | 14.44 | $0.980 | $14.15 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETDown | sell | 7.17 | $0.020 | $0.14 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | buy | 4.03 | $0.729 | $2.94 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | buy | 6.93 | $0.560 | $3.88 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETDown | buy | 2.56 | $0.380 | $0.97 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | buy | 3.29 | $0.590 | $1.94 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETDown | buy | 4.51 | $0.430 | $1.94 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 4.51 | $0.665 | $3 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?Yes | buy | 4.25 | $0.941 | $4 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.945 | $7 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.984 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.76 | $0.820 | $5.54 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.301 | $6.03 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.880 | $3.38 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No | sell | 7.35 | $0.760 | $5.59 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.440 | $13.2 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | Feb 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Feb 13, 2026 UTC |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 10.37 | $0.964 | $10 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.54 | $0.630 | $0.97 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No | buy | 10.37 | $0.964 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.38 | $0.533 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.739 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.38 | $0.650 | $21.05 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.520 | $4 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.14 | $0.717 | $12.28 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.14 | $0.700 | $12 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 2AM ETDown | sell | 11.9 | $0.750 | $8.93 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 2AM ETDown | buy | 12.86 | $0.700 | $9 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 2AM ETUp | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.630 | $18.9 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.630 | $18.9 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.