Latest trade
Oct 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 6:37 AM UTC.
Analytics
Busy-Conspiracy has made $12.83 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 30 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 6:37 AM UTC.
$25 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 36 markets; 84.0% were buys. They run from May 6, 2026 UTC to Oct 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 744.7 | $0.285 | $204.79 | -$7.21 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 396.43 | $0.280 | $111 | 5d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-18 14:56 UTC
Polymarket public position response
5 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 06:37 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 06:37 UTC
polymarket positions
31 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-18 14:56 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.48K and losing ones cost $46.56 across 30 settled positions. 86.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $314.68 on “Will Trump visit China by March 31?” (No); the largest loss, $26.47 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET” (Down).
Its most recent trade on record was on 19 Oct 2026. It has traded 79 markets. Its open positions are worth $313.11 across 5 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 312.5 |
| $0.160 |
| $60.94 |
| +$10.94 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 306.78 | $0.264 | $32.21 | -$48.79 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 263.16 | $0.190 | $11.97 | -$38.03 |
 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | Yes | 277.78 | $0.090 | $3.19 | -$21.81 |
| buy |
| 348.28 |
| $0.290 |
| $101 |
| 5d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown | buy | 73.53 | $0.340 | $25 | 6d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETUp | buy | 43.1 | $0.580 | $25 | 11d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETUp | buy | 47.17 | $0.530 | $25 | 12d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETDown | buy | 54.35 | $0.460 | $25 | 12d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.415 | $8.3 | 12d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETDown | sell | 86.2 | $0.990 | $85.34 | 12d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETDown | buy | 86.21 | $0.290 | $25 | 12d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETUp | buy | 46.3 | $0.540 | $25 | 12d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp | buy | 83.33 | $0.300 | $25 | 13d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp | buy | 73.53 | $0.340 | $25 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp | sell | 129.87 | $0.880 | $114.29 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 51.02 | $0.490 | $25 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETDown | sell | 43.85 | $0.462 | $20.25 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 54.35 | $0.460 | $25 | 16d ago |
 Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri LeheckaJiri Lehecka | buy | 125 | $0.240 | $30 | 19d ago |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de MinaurNovak Djokovic | buy | 54.69 | $0.640 | $35 | 19d ago |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil MedvedevNovak Djokovic | buy | 79.55 | $0.440 | $35 | 19d ago |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume MunarJaume Munar | buy | 230.77 | $0.130 | $30 | 19d ago |
| China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic | sell | 161.29 | $0.999 | $161.13 | 20d ago |
| Villena: Max Hans Rehberg vs Daniel CukiermanDaniel Cukierman | sell | 238.84 | $0.467 | $111.6 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETDown | buy | 156.25 | $0.160 | $25 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETDown | buy | 571.13 | $0.044 | $25 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETUp | sell | 25.77 | $0.960 | $24.74 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETUp | buy | 25.77 | $0.970 | $25 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETUp | buy | 40.32 | $0.620 | $25 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETUp | buy | 12.56 | $0.398 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETUp | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Villena: Max Hans Rehberg vs Daniel CukiermanDaniel Cukierman | buy | 238.85 | $0.126 | $30 | 20d ago |
| China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic | buy | 161.29 | $0.310 | $50 | 20d ago |
 W50 Heraklion: Stella Jurina vs Sapir CohenSapir Cohen | buy | 259.25 | $0.193 | $50 | 20d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.160 | $50 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 51.02 | $0.490 | $25 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 124 | $0.250 | $31 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 297.61 | $0.228 | $67.86 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
 UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 169.86 | $0.182 | $31 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 185.96 | $0.570 | $106 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.176 | $40 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 615.13 | $0.520 | $319.87 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETDown | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETDown | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 195.13 | $0.261 | $51 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 87.72 | $0.171 | $15 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 297.62 | $0.168 | $50 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETUp | buy | 36.18 | $0.553 | $20 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETUp | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETDown | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.