Analytics
Shady-Tool is down $29.83K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | No | 26.6K | $0.971 | $26.59K | +$749.79 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 06:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
38 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 01:25 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 01:25 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-16 06:12 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $93.37K and losing ones cost $37.3K across the latest 50 settled positions. 62% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $32.07K on “US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $11.59K on “Iran closes its airspace by June 8?” (No).
It has traded 554 markets. Its open positions are worth $82.53K across 38 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 9.2K |
| $0.919 |
| $9.15K |
| +$698.49 |
 Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | No | 5.46K | $0.948 | $5.25K | +$79.63 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat? | Yes | 4.99K | $0.909 | $4.67K | +$130.62 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat? | Yes | 3.97K | $0.939 | $3.78K | +$58.38 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-42 House seat? | Yes | 3.47K | $0.950 | $3.34K | +$43.4 |
| Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31? | No | 3.28K | $0.977 | $3.25K | +$49.22 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 3.33K | $0.860 | $3.05K | +$183.31 |
 Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | No | 3.28K | $0.880 | $3K | +$114.92 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-42 House seat? | No | 2.87K | $0.950 | $2.82K | +$97.55 |
 Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.8K | $0.920 | $2.58K | +$0 |
 Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2? | No | 2.58K | $0.929 | $2.54K | +$141.38 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5.58K | $0.410 | $2.41K | +$125.6 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.33K | $0.520 | $2.25K | +$516.62 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2.68K | $0.832 | $2.16K | -$73.23 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.33K | $0.510 | $2.12K | +$416.63 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 16.83K | $0.294 | $925.81 | -$4.03K |
 Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | Yes | 708.98 | $0.880 | $648.72 | +$24.82 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 562 | $0.920 | $539.8 | +$22.76 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.78K | $0.078 | $509.39 | -$97.21 |
 Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats? | Yes | 320.93 | $0.640 | $210.21 | +$4.81 |
 Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat? | No | 216 | $0.900 | $196.56 | +$2.16 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 3.48K | $0.210 | $191.24 | -$538.96 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | $0.290 | $77.25 | -$67.75 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October? | No | 76.17 | $0.920 | $75.9 | +$5.83 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
