Analytics
Yes is at 71.5%, down 1.5 points from 73% when the market opened on 9 Oct 2026.
Across the 20 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 73% on 9 Oct 2026 and the lowest 64.5% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 64.5%. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 67.5% on 10 Oct 2026.
Dems sweep is the favourite of the 8 outcomes in “Senate Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire”, ahead of Reps MI, Dems MN & NH at 16.3%.
$55.59 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $9.91K since listing. The order book holds $28.3K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 213 trades, $1.41K bought Yes and $1.83K bought No.
The largest Yes position is shinyandrew with 1,000 shares; the largest No position is paddaa with 3.2K. Ten wallets hold 82% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–75%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 73.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 71.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| paddaa | No | 3.15K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.2K |
| shinyandrew | Yes | 999.96 |
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/senate-three-way-combo-michigan-minnesota-new-hampshire
| 74-75 |
| Yes |
| 860 |
| James-Talarico | Yes | 699.98 |
| Chims | Yes | 555 |
| Gaditima | Yes | 549.56 |
| Antony82 | No | 500.29 |
| GollumGekko | Yes | 424.71 |
| Shady-Tool | Yes | 320.93 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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