Analytics
Yes is at 5%, up 3.5 points from 1.6% when the market opened on 9 Oct 2026.
Across the 18 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 9.8% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 9 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9.8%.
Dems MI & NH, Reps MN ranks third of the 8 outcomes in “Senate Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire”. Dems sweep leads at 70.5%; Reps MI, Dems MN & NH is at 16.6%.
$933.27 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $15.97K, with a 3.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 30 trades, $39.01 bought Yes and $329.64 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Bright Sphinx 1B73 with 649 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.2K.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 1.6% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 5.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.2K |
| Bright Sphinx 1B73 | Yes | 648.82 |
| Antony82 | Yes | 500.03 |
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/senate-three-way-combo-michigan-minnesota-new-hampshire
| navber | Yes | 45 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 20.39 |
| ddadsf | Yes | 10 |
| sadfsadf | Yes | 10 |
| velorot | Yes | 5 |
| PPMT | No | 1.48 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 0.73 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
