Latest trade
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 6:33 AM UTC.
Analytics
Old-Incidence has made $35.03 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 6:33 AM UTC.
$1.49 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 31 markets; 62.0% were buys. They run from Oct 18, 2026 UTC to Oct 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 19-25? | Yes | 7.13 | $0.753 | $5.6 | +$0.23 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Yes | buy | 8.36 | $0.574 | $4.8 | 1h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-20 18:01 UTC
Polymarket public position response
5 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 06:33 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 06:33 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-20 18:01 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $403.31 and losing ones cost $82.55 across the latest 50 settled positions. 84% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $34.22 on “Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $20.08 on “Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Oct 2026. It has traded 246 markets. Its open positions are worth $12.21 across 5 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 8.36 |
| $0.574 |
| $4.81 |
| +$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | Yes | 5.02 | $0.570 | $1.33 | -$1.53 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25? | Yes | 3.02 | $0.530 | $0.47 | -$1.13 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | Yes | 13.95 | $0.131 | $0.01 | -$1.82 |
| sell |
| 4.93 |
| $0.999 |
| $4.93 |
| 1h ago |
| Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under | buy | 4.94 | $0.770 | $3.8 | 1h ago |
| Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 249.5Under | sell | 3.84 | $0.999 | $3.84 | 1h ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 19-25?Yes | buy | 7.13 | $0.753 | $5.37 | 1h ago |
| Suns vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers | sell | 5.37 | $0.999 | $5.36 | 1h ago |
| Suns vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | 3h ago |
| Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 249.5Under | buy | 3.85 | $0.650 | $2.5 | 3h ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 October 19-25?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.850 | $1.1 | 7h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.5 | $0.013 | $0.21 | 7h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | 7h ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 October 19-25?Yes | buy | 1.65 | $0.850 | $1.4 | 7h ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.530 | $1.6 | 7h ago |
| Spread: Hawks (-8.5) AND Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 252.5 | buy | 4.59 | $0.598 | $2.74 | 7h ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?Yes | buy | 5.94 | $0.792 | $4.7 | 20h ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.570 | $2.86 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.53 | $0.644 | $5.49 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.072 | $1.01 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.154 | $0.77 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.190 | $1.52 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.51 | $0.052 | $0.39 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.95 | $0.118 | $1.06 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.110 | $0.88 | 2d ago |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 19?No | sell | 2.43 | $0.120 | $0.29 | 2d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.999 | $2.06 | 3d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.5 | $0.084 | $1.39 | 3d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.180 | $0.5 | 3d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.160 | $1.28 | 3d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.140 | $1.12 | 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.728 | $1.5 | 3d ago |
 Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship PlayoffsAurora Gaming | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | 3d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship PlayoffsAurora Gaming | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.057 | $0.29 | 3d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 19?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Udinese Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under | sell | 3.04 | $0.999 | $3.04 | 3d ago |
| Udinese Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under | buy | 3.05 | $0.820 | $2.5 | 3d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?Yes | sell | 2.76 | $0.930 | $2.57 | 3d ago |
 Games Total: O/U 4.5Over | buy | 6.64 | $0.432 | $2.87 | 3d ago |
 Spread: Utah (-20.5)Colorado | sell | 1.48 | $0.999 | $1.48 | 4d ago |
| Map Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)LOUD | buy | 6 | $0.150 | $0.9 | 4d ago |
| Utah vs. Colorado: O/U 41.5Over | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Spread: Utah (-20.5)Colorado | buy | 1.49 | $0.740 | $1.1 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 12-18?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.820 | $2.55 | 4d ago |
| Florida State vs. Miami (FL)Miami (FL) | sell | 2.58 | $0.999 | $2.58 | 4d ago |
| Florida State vs. Miami (FL)Miami (FL) | buy | 2.59 | $0.560 | $1.45 | 4d ago |
| Spread: Miami (FL) (-2.5)Florida State | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Will New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.999 | $2.5 | 4d ago |
| Will New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.520 | $1.3 | 4d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 107 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.