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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 4.28K | $0.003 | $12.83 | Mar 30, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 4.28K |
| $0.004 |
| $17.11 |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 115.84 | $0.991 | $114.8 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 115.85 | $0.992 | $114.92 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will Baidu have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.999 | $13.5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 12.97 | $0.998 | $12.94 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.27 | $0.993 | $12.18 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 10.12 | $0.995 | $10.07 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 14.81 | $0.968 | $14.34 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.80 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.989 | $6.69 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will Super J8 Synth + AUv3 be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?No | buy | 5.91 | $0.990 | $5.85 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 14.17 | $0.995 | $14.1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in January?No | buy | 5.34 | $0.986 | $5.27 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 3.22 | $0.989 | $3.18 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| buy | 3.54 | $0.983 | $3.48 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $250 end of November?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.999 | $2.08 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 4.01 | $0.930 | $3.73 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 3.15 | $0.818 | $2.58 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?No | buy | 3.27 | $0.863 | $2.82 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 3.32 | $0.945 | $3.14 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 7.54 | $0.998 | $7.52 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 8.39 | $0.994 | $8.34 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 8.85 | $0.994 | $8.8 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 9.89 | $0.991 | $9.8 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 10.2 | $0.993 | $10.13 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 8.4 | $0.993 | $8.34 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 9.9 | $0.991 | $9.81 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 7.54 | $0.997 | $7.52 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 8.85 | $0.995 | $8.81 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.991 | $10.11 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 4.46 | $0.270 | $1.2 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 4.46 | $0.280 | $1.25 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | sell | 4.49 | $0.500 | $2.25 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 4.49 | $0.510 | $2.29 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 3.39 | $0.440 | $1.49 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.460 | $1.56 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 3.19 | $0.620 | $1.98 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.630 | $2.01 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 2.83 | $0.620 | $1.75 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.83 | $0.630 | $1.78 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 5.08 | $0.440 | $2.24 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.450 | $2.29 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 2.01 | $0.620 | $1.25 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.630 | $1.27 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | sell | 1.71 | $0.710 | $1.21 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.89 | $0.640 | $1.21 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.650 | $1.23 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.730 | $1.25 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | sell | 1.6 | $0.940 | $1.5 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No | sell | 1.77 | $0.940 | $1.66 | Sep 19, 2025 |