Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 14 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 14 Feb 2026 to 20 Feb 2026, the highest close was 40.5% on 14 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 1.3% on 15 Feb 2026. $7.53K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 21, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 14 Feb 2026 – 20 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | 40.5% |
| 20 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.96K |
| holymolyly | Yes | 2K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 999.89 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-february-20
| Yes |
| 444.35 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 425 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 379 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 339 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 157 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 127.92 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 109 |
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