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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.99 | $0.950 | $0.97 | +$0.03 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 66 | $0.910 | $60.06 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 6 |
| $0.810 |
| $4.86 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 108 | $0.810 | $87.48 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.039 | $4.49 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 96 | $0.977 | $93.79 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.101 | $10.3 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 116 | $0.860 | $99.76 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 116 | $0.840 | $97.44 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.810 | $97.2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 108 | $0.899 | $97.09 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 142 | $0.370 | $52.54 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 55.13 | $0.370 | $20.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 118 | $0.828 | $97.7 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 118 | $0.827 | $97.58 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.814 | $48.84 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.807 | $96.84 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 196 | $0.033 | $6.47 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 124 | $0.039 | $4.84 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 124 | $0.032 | $3.97 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 201 | $0.420 | $84.42 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 105 | $0.950 | $99.75 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 105 | $0.950 | $99.75 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 94 | $0.470 | $44.18 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.450 | $42.3 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.100 | $1.7 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 157 | $0.047 | $7.38 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 157 | $0.042 | $6.59 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 116 | $0.760 | $88.16 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 131 | $0.670 | $87.77 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 52.07 | $0.690 | $35.93 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 135 | $0.104 | $14.04 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.038 | $6.65 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.192 | $16.13 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 108 | $0.809 | $87.37 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 71.45 | $0.956 | $68.31 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 92 | $0.490 | $45.08 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 98 | $0.803 | $78.69 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 48 | $0.930 | $44.64 | May 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 48 | $0.914 | $43.87 | May 29, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 168 | $0.040 | $6.72 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 83 | $0.937 | $77.77 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 86 | $0.989 | $85.05 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 86 | $0.989 | $85.05 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 170 | $0.410 | $69.7 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | sell | 22 | $0.965 | $21.23 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.314 | $53.38 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.670 | $9.38 | May 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 208 | $0.025 | $5.2 | May 25, 2026 |