Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 12.08 | $0.828 | $11.2 | +$1.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 6.52 | $0.060 | $0.39 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 12.15 |
| $0.823 |
| $9.2 |
| -$0.8 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 15.75 | $0.635 | $7.83 | -$2.17 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 10.09 | $0.679 | $7.72 | +$0.87 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 21.35 | $0.375 | $7.58 | -$0.42 |
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 7.27 | $0.550 | $5.96 | +$1.96 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 147.11 | $0.072 | $5.96 | -$4.7 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 29.76 | $0.084 | $5.76 | +$3.26 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 6.61 | $0.757 | $5.66 | +$0.66 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5.4 | +$0.4 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 13.99 | $0.286 | $5.15 | +$1.15 |
 Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 9.55 | $0.523 | $5.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 56.83 | $0.044 | $4.52 | +$2.02 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 24.04 | $0.208 | $4.47 | -$0.53 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 7.89 | $0.380 | $4.07 | +$1.07 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 4.71 | $0.850 | $3.98 | -$0.02 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 7.46 | $0.402 | $3.95 | +$0.95 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3.85 | +$0.85 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 23.81 | $0.420 | $3.45 | -$6.55 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 22.06 | $0.340 | $3.42 | -$4.08 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 35.72 | $0.105 | $3.13 | -$0.63 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 6.52 | $0.460 | $2.97 | -$0.03 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 72.5 | $0.033 | $2.65 | +$0.25 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 4.78 | $0.590 | $2.6 | -$0.22 |
 Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 47.97 | $0.027 | $2.45 | +$1.15 |
| sell |
| 5.26 |
| $0.578 |
| $3.04 |
| 1d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 4.71 | $0.850 | $4 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 10.08 | $0.740 | $7.46 | 2d ago |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 47.96 | $0.057 | $2.71 | 2d ago |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 3.61 | $0.480 | $1.73 | 2d ago |
 Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.31 | $0.770 | $6.4 | 5d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 29.76 | $0.198 | $5.89 | 8d ago |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 7.21 | $0.410 | $2.96 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 2.81 | $0.730 | $2.05 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 9.01 | $0.169 | $1.52 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 83.7 | $0.024 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Yabloko win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 40.88 | $0.049 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.967 | $1.44 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group DFalcons Force | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Democrat" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Israel" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ukraine" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | buy | 9.23 | $0.650 | $6 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 11.24 | $0.416 | $4.68 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 4.9 | $0.579 | $2.84 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 2.16 | $0.462 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 4.9 | $0.581 | $2.85 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.315 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.395 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - July 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 4.8 | $0.340 | $1.63 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 5.62 | $0.870 | $4.89 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6.75 | $0.144 | $0.97 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 1.91 | $0.522 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 3.48 | $0.575 | $2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 1.66 | $0.602 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 1.91 | $0.522 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.460 | $4 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 6.12 | $0.680 | $4.16 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.255 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 3.31 | $0.605 | $2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.99 | $0.286 | $4 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.920 | $11.04 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.148 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.340 | $6.54 | Jul 3, 2026 |