Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2.28 | +$0.28 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.06 |
| $0.940 |
| $1.03 |
| +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 15.08 |
| $0.995 |
| $15 |
| Jul 11, 2026 |
 France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over | buy | 26.88 | $0.930 | $25 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5Over | buy | 15.83 | $0.947 | $15 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5Over | buy | 16.48 | $0.910 | $15 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 8?No | buy | 193.55 | $0.083 | $16 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | May 7, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 13.21 | $0.757 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No | buy | 15.77 | $0.951 | $15 | May 7, 2026 |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 8?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | May 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.03 | $0.997 | $11 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.974 | $3 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?No | buy | 10 | $0.996 | $9.96 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.974 | $1.99 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 20?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.946 | $3 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.963 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.995 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.974 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.991 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.976 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Doug Collins be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.972 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Chris Wright be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.964 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.972 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Scott Bessent be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.953 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.983 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.991 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.995 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina SvitolinaSvitolina | buy | 1.25K | $0.150 | $188.15 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina SvitolinaSvitolina | buy | 675.74 | $0.130 | $87.85 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina SvitolinaSvitolina | buy | 680.16 | $0.070 | $47.51 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 150K | $0.004 | $600 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 35.6K | $0.003 | $106.8 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 680.23K | $0.003 | $2.04K | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 166.22K | $0.001 | $166.22 | Jan 28, 2026 |