Analytics
aschenbrenner has made $77.19 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7? | No | 132.32 | $0.535 | $117.1 | +$46.3 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 22:36 UTC
Polymarket public position response
14 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 11:49 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-27 11:49 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-26 22:36 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $192.81 and losing ones cost $39.46 across the latest 50 settled positions. 68% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $34.17 on “Will "Clayface" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?” (Yes); the largest loss, $8 on “S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?” (Down).
It has traded 98 markets. Its open positions are worth $235.57 across 14 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 25.32 |
| $0.800 |
| $22.16 |
| +$1.91 |
 Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 20 | $0.248 | $19.86 | +$14.9 |
 Will "The Cat in the Hat" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 20 | $0.500 | $19.1 | +$9.1 |
 Will "Ebenezer" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 20 | $0.500 | $17.9 | +$7.9 |
| Will "The Cat in the Hat" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 20 | $0.680 | $15.8 | +$2.2 |
 Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | No | 10 | $0.693 | $9.75 | +$2.82 |
| Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 8.6 | $0.345 | $8.58 | +$5.62 |
| Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | No | 5.01 | $0.845 | $4.68 | +$0.45 |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | No | 35.01 | $0.678 | $0.25 | -$23.51 |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 15.12 | $0.258 | $0.22 | -$3.68 |
| Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week? | No | 9.99 | $0.460 | $0.1 | -$4.49 |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | No | 4 | $0.110 | $0.07 | -$0.37 |
| Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? | Yes | 11 | $0.007 | $0.01 | -$0.07 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
