Latest trade
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 2:31 AM UTC.
Analytics
aschenbrenner has made $77.19 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 2:31 AM UTC.
$3.21 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 19 markets; 96.0% were buys. They run from Oct 22, 2026 UTC to Oct 26, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7? | No | 132.32 | $0.535 | $113.8 | +$43 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will "The Cat in the Hat" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | 3h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 22:36 UTC
Polymarket public position response
14 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 02:31 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 02:31 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-26 22:36 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $192.81 and losing ones cost $39.46 across the latest 50 settled positions. 68% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $34.17 on “Will "Clayface" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?” (Yes); the largest loss, $8 on “S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?” (Down).
Its most recent trade on record was on 26 Oct 2026. It has traded 98 markets. Its open positions are worth $233.71 across 14 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 25.32 |
| $0.800 |
| $22.28 |
| +$2.03 |
 Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 20 | $0.248 | $19.72 | +$14.76 |
| Will "Ebenezer" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 20 | $0.500 | $18.9 | +$8.9 |
| Will "The Cat in the Hat" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 20 | $0.500 | $18.9 | +$8.9 |
| Will "The Cat in the Hat" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 20 | $0.680 | $15.9 | +$2.3 |
 Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | No | 10 | $0.693 | $9.76 | +$2.83 |
| Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 8.6 | $0.345 | $8.56 | +$5.59 |
| Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | No | 5.01 | $0.845 | $4.93 | +$0.7 |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | No | 35.01 | $0.678 | $0.49 | -$23.26 |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 15.12 | $0.258 | $0.28 | -$3.62 |
| Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week? | No | 9.99 | $0.460 | $0.09 | -$4.5 |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | No | 4 | $0.110 | $0.07 | -$0.37 |
| Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? | Yes | 11 | $0.007 | $0.04 | -$0.04 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.500 |
| $10 |
| 3h ago |
| Will "The Cat in the Hat" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 3h ago |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?Yes | buy | 20.23 | $0.860 | $17.4 | 8h ago |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?No | buy | 67.32 | $0.560 | $37.7 | 12h ago |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?No | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | 12h ago |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?No | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | 12h ago |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?No | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | 12h ago |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?No | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | 12h ago |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?No | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | 12h ago |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?No | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | 12h ago |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?No | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | 12h ago |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 12h ago |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.560 | $2.85 | 12h ago |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 15.12 | $0.258 | $3.9 | 13h ago |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | 13h ago |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?No | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | 16h ago |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No | sell | 1 | $0.960 | $0.96 | 21h ago |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.248 | $4.96 | 1d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?Down | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | 1d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?Up | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | 1d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?Down | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | 1d ago |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No | sell | 4 | $0.830 | $3.32 | 1d ago |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.751 | $3.76 | 1d ago |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No | buy | 10 | $0.946 | $9.46 | 1d ago |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 2d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?Down | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | 2d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?Down | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | 2d ago |
| Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.150 | $0.21 | 2d ago |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?No | buy | 9 | $0.110 | $0.99 | 2d ago |
| Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.845 | $4.23 | 2d ago |
| Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.004 | $0.02 | 2d ago |
| Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | 2d ago |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | 2d ago |
| Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?No | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | 2d ago |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.889 | $26.67 | 2d ago |
| Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.470 | $2.34 | 2d ago |
| Will "Clayface" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | 3d ago |
| Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 5 | $0.635 | $3.18 | 3d ago |
| Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.011 | $0.05 | 3d ago |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | 3d ago |
| Will "Clayface" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | 3d ago |
| Will "Wildwood" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | 3d ago |
| Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | 3d ago |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | 3d ago |
 Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 22?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | 3d ago |
| Will "Clayface" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | 3d ago |
| Will "Clayface" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | 3d ago |
| Will "Clayface" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.870 | $26.1 | 4d ago |
| Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | 4d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.