Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | May 27, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.130 |
| $1.3 |
| Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 7?Yes | buy | 4.5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.71 | $0.005 | $0.14 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETDown | buy | 4.83 | $0.380 | $1.84 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETDown | buy | 25.82 | $0.950 | $24.53 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown | buy | 19.65 | $0.750 | $14.74 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.194 | $19.39 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.189 | $18.95 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 26, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?No | sell | 25.99 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token on March 28?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.008 | $0.8 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token on March 27?Yes | buy | 39.99 | $0.025 | $1.02 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token on March 26?Yes | buy | 95.45 | $0.009 | $0.86 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token on March 25?Yes | buy | 90.99 | $0.011 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token on March 24?Yes | buy | 15.97 | $0.066 | $1.05 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?No | buy | 25.98 | $0.039 | $1.01 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.078 | $1.17 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?No | buy | 40 | $0.039 | $1.56 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.067 | $1.34 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.144 | $1.44 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.116 | $1.16 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 13?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.017 | $5.1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.018 | $7.2 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.339 | $1.69 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.008 | $0.24 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)No | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will the US strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?No | sell | 25 | $0.066 | $1.65 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.099 | $1.09 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | buy | 7.8 | $0.290 | $2.26 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?No | buy | 14 | $0.090 | $1.26 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.090 | $1.35 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.015 | $1.5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | Mar 5, 2026 |