Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 42% on 12 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2026 to 23 Mar 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 42% on 12 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.3% on 22 Mar 2026.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 24, 12:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 12 Mar 2026 – 23 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2026 | 42.0% |
| 23 Mar 2026 | 3.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CnCo | Yes | 10K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.58K |
| secycoin4 | Yes | 1.2K |
| acal | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the first date (in ET) on which Backpack launches its governance token. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Backpack (https://x.com/Backpack/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-day-will-the-backpack-token-launch-be
| newer | Yes | 999.99 |
| owednfgm | Yes | 751.79 |
| S3LFMADE | Yes | 402.56 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 300 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 242 |
| Dimer | Yes | 232.99 |
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