Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 92.6%. Yes opened at 32% on 12 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2026 to 23 Mar 2026, the highest close was 97.3% on 21 Mar 2026 and the lowest 32% on 12 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 65 points up, to 96.9% on 13 Mar 2026.
96 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 24, 3:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 12 Mar 2026 – 23 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2026 | 32.0% |
| 23 Mar 2026 | 92.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jhkfgyjfjhdfj | No | 24K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.58K |
| newer | No | 5.4K |
| NoNamerz777 | No | 3.2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the first date (in ET) on which Backpack launches its governance token. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Backpack (https://x.com/Backpack/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-day-will-the-backpack-token-launch-be
| zhuofei1 | No | 3.18K |
| gatilla | No | 3K |
| hnnh | No | 2.03K |
| pavlik337 | No | 1.95K |
| aadsss | No | 1.88K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | No | 1.8K |
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