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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Yes | buy | 133 | $0.530 | $70.49 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 7.3K |
| $0.950 |
| $6.94K |
| Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 105.99K | $0.021 | $2.18K | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 244.54 | $0.070 | $17.1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 381.8 | $0.058 | $22.14 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 789.43 | $0.054 | $42.53 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.055 | $73.78 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 657.8 | $0.049 | $32.23 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.045 | $2.08 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 563.06 | $0.044 | $24.77 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.043 | $57.85 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 7.42K | $0.200 | $1.48K | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Browser" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.810 | $56.7 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.943 | $943 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.937 | $655.9 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?Yes | buy | 4.4K | $0.510 | $2.24K | Jun 7, 2025 |
| French Open: Sabalenka vs. GauffSabalenka | buy | 500 | $0.280 | $140 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?Yes | buy | 82.11 | $0.380 | $31.2 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter MilanInter | buy | 1.25K | $0.400 | $500 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 550 or more times Jan 17-24?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 550 or more times Jan 17-24?Yes | buy | 1.49K | $0.080 | $119.28 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Was Trump hacked?Yes | buy | 2.18K | $0.080 | $174.42 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Was Trump hacked?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.080 | $800 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 87.82 | $0.360 | $31.62 | Jan 18, 2025 |