Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 0.95 | $0.440 | $0.13 | -$0.29 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.048 | $0.43 | Jun 8, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 61 |
| $0.039 |
| $2.38 |
| Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.039 | $2.73 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.440 | $29.04 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.500 | $1.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 40 | $0.820 | $32.8 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 40 | $0.830 | $33.2 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 50 | $0.954 | $47.7 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 50 | $0.955 | $47.75 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.450 | $11.7 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 26.95 | $0.450 | $12.13 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 4 | $0.917 | $3.67 | May 18, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | sell | 42 | $0.986 | $41.41 | May 14, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 26 | $0.985 | $25.61 | May 14, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 16.59 | $0.984 | $16.32 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | sell | 33 | $0.974 | $32.14 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 15 | $0.973 | $14.59 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.986 | $41.41 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.122 | $0.61 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.015 | $0.18 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 93 | $0.019 | $1.77 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.022 | $0.66 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 18 | $0.983 | $17.69 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 39 | $0.922 | $35.96 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 35 | $0.974 | $34.09 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 35 | $0.974 | $34.09 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 48 | $0.885 | $42.48 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.075 | $4.2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.075 | $4.2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.049 | $1.86 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 167 | $0.045 | $7.52 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 66 | $0.749 | $49.43 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.037 | $1.11 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 42 | $0.883 | $37.09 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | sell | 152 | $0.022 | $3.34 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 152 | $0.018 | $2.74 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.043 | $1.38 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.071 | $12.07 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.041 | $1.8 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.047 | $2.26 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.106 | $7.42 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 59 | $0.884 | $52.16 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 59 | $0.885 | $52.22 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.171 | $14.02 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.172 | $14.1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 33 | $0.972 | $32.08 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 33 | $0.972 | $32.08 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Yes | sell | 93 | $0.016 | $1.49 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.015 | $2.31 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.031 | $2.57 | Apr 14, 2026 |