Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 28 | $0.988 | $27.66 | May 14, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 221.04 |
| $0.987 |
| $218.17 |
| May 14, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 283 | $0.955 | $270.27 | May 14, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?No | sell | 109 | $0.978 | $106.6 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?No | sell | 168 | $0.975 | $163.8 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?No | buy | 277 | $0.976 | $270.35 | May 13, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 261 | $0.944 | $246.38 | May 12, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 116 | $0.948 | $109.97 | May 11, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 116 | $0.948 | $109.97 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 171 | $0.976 | $166.9 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 504 | $0.084 | $42.34 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 504 | $0.079 | $39.82 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 485.19 | $0.023 | $11.16 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 562 | $0.024 | $13.49 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 995 | $0.013 | $12.93 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 980 | $0.013 | $12.74 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 297 | $0.973 | $288.98 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 343 | $0.842 | $288.81 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | sell | 255 | $0.037 | $9.43 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | buy | 521 | $0.050 | $26.05 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 126 | $0.982 | $123.73 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.975 | $40.95 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 605 | $0.124 | $74.99 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.16K | $0.025 | $29.44 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.026 | $30.26 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 88 | $0.967 | $85.1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 49 | $0.967 | $47.38 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.390 | $7.02 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.790 | $7.11 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 2 | $0.908 | $1.82 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?No | sell | 5 | $0.974 | $4.87 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 5 | $0.973 | $4.87 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.983 | $4.92 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.942 | $4.71 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 5 | $0.932 | $4.66 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.191 | $4.78 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.945 | $4.73 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 5 | $0.949 | $4.75 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | sell | 5 | $0.954 | $4.77 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 5 | $0.926 | $4.63 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?No | sell | 4 | $0.934 | $3.74 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?No | buy | 6 | $0.934 | $5.6 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 6 | $0.931 | $5.59 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 6 | $0.933 | $5.6 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 6 | $0.968 | $5.81 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 6 | $0.932 | $5.59 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 6 | $0.934 | $5.6 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 6 | $0.948 | $5.69 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 6 | $0.958 | $5.75 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 6 | $0.929 | $5.57 | Jul 1, 2025 |