Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.86 |
| $0.700 |
| $2 |
| Mar 9, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.380 | $4 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Solana above $145 on March 14?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Victory" three or more times in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Mail-in" in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Steal", "Stealing", "Stole", or "Stolen" in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.905 | $2 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Fraud" in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Rig" or "Rigged" in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "tampon" during Greensboro, NC rally?No | buy | 2.64 | $0.970 | $2.56 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "trans" during Greensboro, NC rally?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Greensboro, NC rally?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.977 | $1.13 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "garbage truck" during Greensboro, NC rally?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.780 | $1.13 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" or "Venezuelan" 5 or more during Greensboro, NC rally?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.740 | $1.13 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "North Carolina" 20 or more during Greensboro, NC rally?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.890 | $1.13 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 30 or more during Greensboro, NC rally?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.930 | $1.13 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Greensboro, NC rally?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.930 | $1.13 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Trans" during North Carolina rally October 22?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.910 | $1.2 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Tampon" during North Carolina rally October 22?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.880 | $1.2 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" during North Carolina rally October 22?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.900 | $1.2 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during North Carolina rally October 22?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.880 | $1.2 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Alien Enemies Act" during North Carolina rally October 22?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.880 | $1.2 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Helene" during North Carolina rally October 22?Yes | buy | 1.46 | $0.820 | $1.2 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "FEMA" during North Carolina rally October 22?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.750 | $1.2 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "French fries" during North Carolina rally October 22?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.770 | $1.2 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "McDonald's" during North Carolina rally October 22?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.920 | $1.2 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.860 | $0.9 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?No | buy | 0.91 | $0.770 | $0.7 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Yes | buy | 0.93 | $0.750 | $0.7 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "AI" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Hamas" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.969 | $2 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "60 Minutes" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Liquid gold" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Yes | buy | 8.98K | $0.002 | $17.97 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Yes | buy | 8.98K | $0.002 | $17.97 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will Dynamo Kyiv win the UEFA Europa League?Yes | buy | 7.69K | $0.005 | $38.43 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Will Dynamo Kyiv win the UEFA Europa League?Yes | buy | 7.69K | $0.005 | $38.43 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Yes | buy | 8.98K | $0.002 | $17.97 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Yes | buy | 8.98K | $0.002 | $17.97 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Yes | buy | 8.98K | $0.002 | $17.97 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Yes | buy | 8.95K | $0.002 | $20 | Oct 8, 2024 |