
Resolved Yes on 23 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 12%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 22 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 22 Oct 2024 to 23 Oct 2024, the highest close was 21.5% on 22 Oct 2024 and the lowest 12% on 23 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 12% on 23 Oct 2024. $221.87K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 8:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 22 Oct 2024 – 23 Oct 2024, chart shows 10%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2024 | 21.5% |
| 23 Oct 2024 | 12.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ooz | No | 10.33K |
| malmliden | No | 7.28K |
| gamblerinoMaster | No | 88.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 22 in Greensboro, North Carolina (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-greensboro-north-carolina). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "French fries" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 22, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-north-carolina-rally-oct-22
| No |
| 65.28 |
| Respekboom | No | 5 |
| Frigg | Yes | 0.06 |
| subarur | Yes | 0.04 |
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