Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 30 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 60 daily closes on record from 30 Aug 2024 to 28 Oct 2024, the highest close was 2.5% on 30 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Sep 2024. $21M traded over the market's life.
98 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 8:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 30 Aug 2024 – 28 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2024 | 2.5% |
| 28 Oct 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 321.44K |
| supercar | Yes | 45.83K |
| Noahf | Yes | 5.86K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2024 São Paulo mayoral election is scheduled to take place on October 6. If no candidate receives a majority of votes, a runoff election will be held on October 27, 2024. This is a market asking who will be the ultimate victor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate other than Pablo Marçal, Guilherme Boulos, Ricardo Nunes, José Luiz Datena, Tabata Amaral, or Marina Helena wins the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the election is delayed beyond December 31, 2024 ET, or the election is otherwise not held by that date, this market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) (www.tse.jus.br) and/or the official process by which electoral disputes are arbitrated in Brazil.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/so-paulo-mayoral-election-2024
| Yes |
| 5.04K |
| noburu | Yes | 2.65K |
| pei | Yes | 2.58K |
| trzere | Yes | 2.55K |
| pouii | Yes | 2.27K |
| jessys | Yes | 2.25K |
| Ryder3 | Yes | 2K |
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