Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 161.99 | $0.963 | $155.76 | -$0.24 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 161.99 | $0.963 | $156 | 29d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 38.46 |
| $0.650 |
| $25 |
| 29d ago |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 103.2 | $0.969 | $100 | 29d ago |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 825.59 | $0.968 | $799.17 | 29d ago |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 825.59 | $0.969 | $800 | 29d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETDown | buy | 7.41 | $0.810 | $6 | 29d ago |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 652.39 | $0.980 | $639.34 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 652.4 | $0.981 | $640 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 939.69 | $0.994 | $934.05 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 939.7 | $0.995 | $935 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.460 | $4 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | buy | 4.49 | $0.650 | $2.92 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 49ers vs. EaglesEagles | buy | 8.57 | $0.700 | $6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 12.02 | $0.832 | $10 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Trump x Putin talk before August?Yes | buy | 10.91 | $0.550 | $6 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 87.5 | $0.160 | $14 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 8K | $0.003 | $24 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 8K | $0.004 | $32 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 47.16K | $0.003 | $141.47 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 47.16K | $0.004 | $188.62 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump be Speaker by January 1?No | buy | 15.23 | $0.985 | $15 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?Yes | buy | 34.62 | $0.982 | $34 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 455 | $0.515 | $234.33 | Dec 11, 2024 |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 466.94 | $0.518 | $241.77 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Israel" at debate?Yes | buy | 0.55 | $0.910 | $0.5 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Sep 6, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.973 | $3 | Sep 6, 2024 |
 Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.155 | $5 | Sep 6, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 14.06 | $0.711 | $10 | Sep 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.528 | $105.6 | Sep 6, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov released in August?No | buy | 80 | $0.750 | $60 | Aug 26, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?Yes | buy | 40.23 | $0.870 | $35 | Aug 26, 2024 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?No | buy | 72.24 | $0.969 | $70 | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 221.77 | $0.496 | $110 | Aug 26, 2024 |