Latest trade
Sep 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 12:43 PM UTC.
Analytics
LightningAndTheThunder has made $4.52K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 12:43 PM UTC.
$47.81 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 25 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Sep 1, 2026 UTC to Sep 13, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | Yes | 1.16K | $0.819 | $1.14K | +$190.96 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tetairoa McMillan: Anytime TouchdownYes | buy | 300 | $0.300 | $90 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-06 20:45 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 12:43 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 12:43 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-06 20:45 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $19.77K and losing ones cost $255 across the latest 50 settled positions. 98% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $725.98 on “Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5” (Under); the largest loss, $255 on “Spread: Pistons (-8.5)” (Pistons).
Its most recent trade on record was on 13 Sep 2026. It has traded 186 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.14K across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.630 |
| $630 |
| Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over | buy | 340 | $0.500 | $170 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 49ers vs. RamsRams | buy | 450 | $0.650 | $292.5 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| 49ers vs. RamsRams | buy | 1.55K | $0.650 | $1.01K | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco GiantsSt. Louis Cardinals | buy | 636.78 | $0.530 | $337.49 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco GiantsSt. Louis Cardinals | buy | 21.28 | $0.530 | $11.28 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco GiantsSt. Louis Cardinals | buy | 2.13 | $0.530 | $1.13 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco GiantsSt. Louis Cardinals | buy | 20.83 | $0.530 | $11.04 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco GiantsSt. Louis Cardinals | buy | 10.64 | $0.530 | $5.64 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco GiantsSt. Louis Cardinals | buy | 2.98 | $0.530 | $1.58 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Texas Rangers vs. Seattle MarinersTexas Rangers | buy | 62.71 | $0.410 | $25.71 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco GiantsSt. Louis Cardinals | buy | 2.13 | $0.530 | $1.13 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco GiantsSt. Louis Cardinals | buy | 3 | $0.530 | $1.59 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Texas Rangers vs. Seattle MarinersTexas Rangers | buy | 2.43 | $0.410 | $1 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore OriolesCleveland Guardians | buy | 500 | $0.510 | $255 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Washington Nationals vs. San Diego PadresWashington Nationals | buy | 800 | $0.370 | $296 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.910 | $70.07 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox | buy | 387.08 | $0.577 | $223.5 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco GiantsSt. Louis Cardinals | buy | 10.23 | $0.530 | $5.42 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. AthleticsToronto Blue Jays | buy | 177.43 | $0.650 | $115.33 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over | buy | 500 | $0.510 | $255 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians | buy | 925.31 | $0.600 | $555.04 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City RoyalsToronto Blue Jays | buy | 800 | $0.530 | $424 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
 Spread: James Madison (-5.5)James Madison | buy | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: James Madison (-5.5)James Madison | buy | 282 | $0.520 | $146.64 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxMinnesota Twins | buy | 215.09 | $0.480 | $103.24 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Miami MarlinsChicago Cubs | buy | 71.51 | $0.560 | $40.05 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Miami MarlinsChicago Cubs | buy | 30 | $0.560 | $16.8 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 402.99 | $0.740 | $298.21 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astros | buy | 255.07 | $0.560 | $142.84 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxMinnesota Twins | buy | 41.65 | $0.470 | $19.58 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Miami MarlinsChicago Cubs | buy | 272.43 | $0.560 | $152.56 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Miami MarlinsChicago Cubs | buy | 43.71 | $0.550 | $24.04 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore OriolesBoston Red Sox | buy | 300 | $0.530 | $159 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies | buy | 500 | $0.520 | $260 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?No | buy | 30 | $0.984 | $29.52 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?No | buy | 50.1 | $0.972 | $48.7 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?No | buy | 60 | $0.971 | $58.26 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 48.72 | $0.963 | $46.93 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kirk Cousins be the Raiders' Week 1 starting QB?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.969 | $38.76 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kirk Cousins be the Raiders' Week 1 starting QB?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.968 | $38.72 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kirk Cousins be the Raiders' Week 1 starting QB?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.967 | $38.68 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kirk Cousins be the Raiders' Week 1 starting QB?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.967 | $38.68 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kirk Cousins be the Raiders' Week 1 starting QB?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.966 | $38.64 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kirk Cousins be the Raiders' Week 1 starting QB?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.967 | $38.68 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kirk Cousins be the Raiders' Week 1 starting QB?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.967 | $38.68 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kirk Cousins be the Raiders' Week 1 starting QB?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.967 | $38.68 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kirk Cousins be the Raiders' Week 1 starting QB?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.969 | $38.76 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles AngelsNew York Yankees | buy | 234.4 | $0.630 | $147.67 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 119 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.