Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 61.5% on 29 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 139 daily closes on record from 29 Apr 2026 to 14 Sep 2026, the highest close was 100% on 14 Sep 2026 and the lowest 45% on 8 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 45.5% on 3 Jul 2026. $3.73K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 14, 10:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 139 points, 29 Apr 2026 – 14 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2026 | 61.5% |
| 14 Sep 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 254.18 |
| Attached-Prairie | No | 113.33 |
| Celebrated-Howard | No | 5.1 |
This market will resolve according to the player that takes the first snap at quarterback for the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. In the event two listed quarterbacks take the field on the first offensive play of the Las Vegas Raiders’ Week 1 game, this market will resolve in favor of the player directly receiving the snap. If neither listed quarterback directly receives the snap, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no official starter has taken the field within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pro-football-raiders-week-1-starting-qb
| Yes |
| 3.5 |
| 47gds | No | 0.22 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 0.01 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 0.01 |
| shoobadooba18 | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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