Latest trade
Mar 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 11:07 PM UTC.
Analytics
facto is down $3.68K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 43 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 11:07 PM UTC.
$4.29 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 19 markets; 76.0% were buys. They run from Mar 20, 2026 UTC to Mar 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 226 | $0.494 | $210.07 | +$98.42 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | $0 | $0 | 646 | 1 | 0.0% | $0 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETUp | buy | 15.54 | $0.600 | $9.32 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-20 15:56 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 23:07 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 23:07 UTC
polymarket positions
44 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-20 15:56 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $123.68 and losing ones cost $305.63 across 43 settled positions. 32.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $69.06 on “Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?” (Yes); the largest loss, $44.07 on “Solana Up or Down - March 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET” (Up).
It first traded on 8 Mar 2026 and most recently on 20 Mar 2026, 220 days ago. It has traded 211 markets. Its open positions are worth $321.28 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 67 |
| $0.354 |
| $64.29 |
| +$40.54 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 245 | $0.265 | $44.22 | -$20.8 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 42 | $0.310 | $2.06 | -$10.96 |
 Ledger IPO before 2027? | Yes | 16 | $0.730 | $0.64 | -$11.04 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 8 | $0.590 | $0 | -$4.72 |
| sell |
| 24 |
| $0.600 |
| $14.4 |
| Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 Solana Up or Down - March 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp | sell | 26 | $0.050 | $1.3 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - March 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp | sell | 87 | $0.050 | $4.35 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.354 | $23.75 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETUp | buy | 15.78 | $0.790 | $12.47 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETUp | sell | 15 | $0.850 | $12.75 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETUp | buy | 15 | $0.830 | $12.45 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.440 | $13.64 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.470 | $15.98 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.696 | $4.87 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - March 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETUp | buy | 68.4 | $0.690 | $47.2 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | sell | 88.38 | $0.431 | $38.11 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | sell | 88.38 | $0.434 | $38.37 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | sell | 5.07 | $0.450 | $2.28 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETUp | sell | 47 | $0.030 | $1.41 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETUp | buy | 7.61 | $0.270 | $2.05 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETUp | buy | 24 | $0.270 | $6.48 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETUp | buy | 15.39 | $0.270 | $4.16 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 20.35 | $0.480 | $9.77 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp | sell | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp | sell | 114.85 | $0.030 | $3.45 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?No | buy | 8 | $0.528 | $4.22 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?No | buy | 8 | $0.528 | $4.22 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 1.08 | $0.070 | $0.08 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 11.98 | $0.070 | $0.84 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 5.99 | $0.070 | $0.42 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 49.65 | $0.070 | $3.48 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 6.39 | $0.070 | $0.45 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 10.75 | $0.070 | $0.75 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 5.37 | $0.070 | $0.38 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 40 | $0.070 | $2.8 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 11.98 | $0.070 | $0.84 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 40 | $0.070 | $2.8 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 53.74 | $0.890 | $47.83 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.99 | $0.070 | $0.35 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 1.8 | $0.070 | $0.13 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 246.82 | $0.199 | $49.17 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 68.07 | $0.207 | $14.06 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.718 | $5.03 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 67.48 | $0.700 | $47.23 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 XRP Up or Down - March 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 7.99 | $0.570 | $4.55 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - March 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 5.12 | $0.570 | $2.92 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - March 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 3.48 | $0.570 | $1.98 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - March 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 12.07 | $0.570 | $6.88 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETUp | buy | 69.32 | $0.680 | $47.14 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - March 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 36.37 | $0.568 | $20.66 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.