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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100.5 | $0.995 | $100 | 22d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 126.41 |
| $0.973 |
| $123 |
| 22d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?No | buy | 103.84 | $0.963 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.984 | $120 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 220.18 | $0.981 | $216 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsTop Esports | buy | 202.02 | $0.990 | $200 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 155.85 | $0.969 | $151 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?No | buy | 271.34 | $0.984 | $267 | May 2, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 159.57 | $0.940 | $150 | May 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 138.95 | $0.950 | $132 | May 2, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 189.36 | $0.940 | $178 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 191.73 | $0.991 | $190 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 180.61 | $0.980 | $177 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 123.08 | $0.975 | $120 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.992 | $99.2 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 170.72 | $0.978 | $167 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 163.93 | $0.976 | $160 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 191.06 | $0.984 | $188 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February?No | buy | 276.32 | $0.988 | $273 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 245.47 | $0.994 | $244 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 354.25 | $0.988 | $350 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,350 in January?No | buy | 170.85 | $0.995 | $170 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $120 January 12-18?No | buy | 271.36 | $0.995 | $270 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,800 January 12-18?No | buy | 249.75 | $0.997 | $249 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | buy | 521.8 | $0.991 | $517 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?No | buy | 368.74 | $0.998 | $368 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?No | buy | 130.65 | $0.995 | $130 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No | buy | 503.02 | $0.994 | $500 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 14?Yes | buy | 141.99 | $0.993 | $141 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on November 14?Down | buy | 363.27 | $0.980 | $356 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $150 on October 27?Yes | buy | 320.64 | $0.998 | $320 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 329.58 | $0.992 | $326.94 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 157.6 | $0.990 | $156 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 329.58 | $0.977 | $322 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on September 30?Yes | buy | 237.27 | $0.982 | $233 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by September 30?No | buy | 180.67 | $0.996 | $180 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook arrested by September 30?No | buy | 30.15 | $0.995 | $30 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $11m?Yes | buy | 222.67 | $0.997 | $222 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 650 or more times August 15–August 22?No | buy | 261.76 | $0.978 | $256 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 100.1 | $0.998 | $99.9 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $115m?No | buy | 273 | $0.989 | $270 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?No | sell | 180.36 | $0.999 | $180.18 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 90.18 | $0.998 | $90 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?No | buy | 180.36 | $0.998 | $180 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $112K on June 17?No | buy | 237.9 | $0.992 | $236 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2900 on June 17?No | buy | 222.89 | $0.996 | $222 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?No | buy | 446.23 | $0.995 | $444 | May 25, 2025 |
 X allowed to operate in China before May?No | buy | 166.33 | $0.998 | $166 | Apr 6, 2025 |