Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $115m?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 28, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$380.4K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 28, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 28 Jul 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.1%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 22 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2025 to 28 Jul 2025, the highest close was 8.5% on 22 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.6% on 26 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.7 points down, to 1.8% on 23 Jul 2025. $380.45K traded over the market's life.

60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 30, 12:36 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 22 Jul 2025 – 28 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
22 Jul 2025	8.5%
28 Jul 2025	4.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	179.62K
Anjun	Yes	20.2K
RandomInternetPerson	Yes	8.93K
jakee1927	Yes	7.65K

10 of 60 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to how much “Fantastic Four: The First Steps” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Fantastic-Four-The-First-Steps-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 25 - July 27) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by August 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.