Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Chow Hang‑tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.015 | $1.95 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 165.68 |
| $0.028 |
| $4.6 |
| Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.110 | $1.5 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Alexei Gorinov win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 34.55 | $0.043 | $1.5 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 162.16 | $0.190 | $30.81 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 186.67 | $0.150 | $28 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.280 | $30 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 115.33 | $0.260 | $30 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin before February?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Oracle" during the announcement?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Altman" during the announcement?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "OpenAI" during the announcement?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?No | buy | 428.57 | $0.007 | $3 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Was Trump hacked?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Was Trump hacked?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Will $TRUMP memecoin creator sell by Sunday?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Will $TRUMP memecoin creator sell by Sunday?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.039 | $2 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?No | buy | 909.09 | $0.011 | $10 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?No | buy | 357.14 | $0.007 | $2.5 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?No | buy | 600 | $0.005 | $3 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?No | sell | 86.2 | $0.022 | $1.86 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?No | buy | 707.14 | $0.007 | $5 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?No | sell | 564.55 | $0.003 | $1.52 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?No | buy | 260.91 | $0.019 | $5 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?No | buy | 303.65 | $0.016 | $5 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?No | buy | 86.21 | $0.058 | $5 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?No | sell | 101.4 | $0.896 | $90.85 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?No | sell | 100 | $0.881 | $88.1 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.090 | $2.7 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by March 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.090 | $2.25 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?No | buy | 201.46 | $0.046 | $9.22 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.025 | $1.08 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?No | sell | 100 | $0.031 | $3.1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 78.95 | $0.190 | $15 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.037 | $5 | Jan 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Jan 12, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jan 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Jan 12, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jan 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.150 | $12 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Palisades fire burns 20,000-25,000 acres by Friday?Yes | sell | 46.09 | $0.999 | $46.04 | Jan 11, 2025 |