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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 14.67 | $0.750 | $13.27 | +$2.27 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.25 | $0.830 | $11 | Jul 21, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 20.21 |
| $0.720 |
| $14.55 |
| Jul 21, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 14.67 | $0.750 | $11 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 20.21 | $0.940 | $19 | Jul 9, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 37.23 | $0.940 | $35 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 173.91 | $0.920 | $160 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.012 | $2 | Jun 7, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | sell | 35.44 | $0.994 | $35.23 | Jun 7, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 35.44 | $0.790 | $28 | May 29, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 152.81 | $0.890 | $136 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?Yes | sell | 16.97 | $0.975 | $16.55 | May 29, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 128.61 | $0.997 | $128.22 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 16.98 | $0.960 | $16.3 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.780 | $12 | May 18, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 128.62 | $0.933 | $120 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?Yes | buy | 17.2 | $0.930 | $16 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | sell | 17.02 | $0.996 | $16.95 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 23.57 | $0.997 | $23.49 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?No | buy | 3.62 | $0.999 | $3.62 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?No | buy | 15.45 | $0.989 | $15.28 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will MLB be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?No | buy | 15.92 | $0.999 | $15.9 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?No | sell | 14.17 | $0.977 | $13.84 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 16.85 | $0.997 | $16.8 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 16.85 | $0.997 | $16.8 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 17.02 | $0.998 | $16.99 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 27.4 | $0.993 | $27.21 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?No | buy | 14.18 | $0.973 | $13.8 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 21.86 | $0.999 | $21.84 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?No | buy | 17.36 | $0.999 | $17.34 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will OpenSea be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 25.93 | $0.999 | $25.9 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Seahawks vs. PatriotsSeahawks | buy | 6.89 | $0.987 | $6.8 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will "Copshop" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 10)No | buy | 16.4 | $0.998 | $16.37 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 27.41 | $0.996 | $27.3 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Australian Open Men's: Hamad Medjedovic vs Alex de MinaurMinaur | buy | 7.31 | $0.700 | $5.12 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will Stephen Graham be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 44.6 | $0.541 | $24.15 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 2.91K | $0.001 | $2.91 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Will Stephen Graham be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 44.6 | $0.991 | $44.2 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No | buy | 66.93 | $0.998 | $66.8 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 2.91K | $0.002 | $5.82 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.78K | $0.006 | $10.67 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.78K | $0.009 | $16 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | sell | 36.94 | $0.994 | $36.73 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | buy | 36.95 | $0.996 | $36.8 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?No | buy | 52.25 | $0.999 | $52.2 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 28.77 | $0.992 | $28.54 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 28.77 | $0.994 | $28.6 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Hugh Jackman win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 50.25 | $0.998 | $50.15 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Hugh Jackman win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 50.25 | $0.999 | $50.2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 46.03 | $0.994 | $45.75 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 72.34 | $0.997 | $72.12 | Dec 12, 2025 |