Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.52 | $0.046 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.450 | $0.45 | Jun 8, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 77 |
| $0.046 |
| $3.54 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.940 | $39.48 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.460 | $20.7 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 57 | $0.710 | $40.47 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 57 | $0.710 | $40.47 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 57 | $0.710 | $40.47 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 57 | $0.710 | $40.47 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 91 | $0.310 | $28.21 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 91 | $0.320 | $29.12 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.050 | $2.05 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.810 | $23.49 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.027 | $4.32 | May 16, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.039 | $0.35 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 59 | $0.720 | $42.48 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 59 | $0.722 | $42.6 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.966 | $3.86 | May 15, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.046 | $3.77 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | sell | 43 | $0.972 | $41.8 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 43 | $0.975 | $41.93 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.978 | $38.14 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.033 | $2.81 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 45 | $0.922 | $41.49 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.247 | $7.9 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.940 | $42.3 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 40 | $0.884 | $35.36 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 43 | $0.923 | $39.69 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 26 | $0.748 | $19.45 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.946 | $13.24 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.032 | $1.09 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.032 | $1.09 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.940 | $37.6 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.974 | $37.99 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.969 | $37.79 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.033 | $1.55 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.045 | $6.75 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.049 | $7.35 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 11.79 | $0.978 | $11.53 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.147 | $6.17 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 39 | $0.983 | $38.34 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 43 | $0.978 | $42.05 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 39 | $0.966 | $37.67 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | sell | 39 | $0.982 | $38.3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 52 | $0.727 | $37.8 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.013 | $1.03 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.014 | $0.98 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.028 | $1.29 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.079 | $3.4 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.087 | $3.65 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 46 | $0.920 | $42.32 | Apr 5, 2026 |