Latest trade
May 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 9:35 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Crimson Falcon C433 has made $1.64 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2025-12-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
May 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 9:35 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 32 trades covered 29 markets; 93.8% were buys. They run from Oct 27, 2025 UTC to May 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 10?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-12-06 19:05 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 21:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
32 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 21:35 UTC
polymarket positions
4 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-12-06 19:05 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
The largest win was $0.55 on “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 8?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 4 May 2026. It has traded 29 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.23 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.09 |
| $0.920 |
| $1.06 |
| +$0.06 |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | Yes | 1.45 | $0.690 | $0.03 | -$0.97 |
| buy |
| 2.22 |
| $0.450 |
| $1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
 EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 UTC |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 25?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 20?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 6?Yes | sell | 2.29 | $0.930 | $2.13 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 6?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 6?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 1?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 22?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 19?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 16?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 14?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 8?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.982 | $1.55 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 13?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 8?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.632 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 4?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?Up | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 29?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 29?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.