Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Netanyahu say "Antisemitic" or "Antisemitism" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during events with Turkish president on September 25?Yes| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.420 |
| $2.1 |
| Sep 24, 2025 |
Will JD Vance say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 10+ times during remarks in NC on September 24?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during remarks in NC on September 24?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Kimmel say "Dictator" during return show on September 23?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Kimmel say "Apologize" or "Sorry" 5+ times during return show on September 23?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter MilanInter | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | May 9, 2025 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.229 | $2.29 | May 2, 2025 |
India military action against Pakistan before June?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Obama" during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Zelenskyy" during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?Yes | buy | 4.95 | $0.680 | $3.37 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Not allowed to say" during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Norway PM events on April 24?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.064 | $0.33 | Apr 24, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Greenland" during Norway PM events on April 24?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
Will Trump say "COVID" or "China virus" during Norway PM events on April 24?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Apr 24, 2025 |
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.071 | $1.42 | Apr 24, 2025 |
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.228 | $2.28 | Apr 24, 2025 |
Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Apr 21, 2025 |
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.150 | $1.2 | Apr 21, 2025 |
Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Apr 21, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 6.79 | $0.280 | $1.9 | Apr 21, 2025 |
Will Carney say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Apr 17, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Denmark" during Meloni visit on April 17?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.160 | $2.4 | Apr 17, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Africa" during Meloni visit on April 17?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Apr 17, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Italy" 10+ times during Meloni visit on April 17?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.999 | $12.49 | Apr 17, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 28 - April 4?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.590 | $8.85 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.998 | $14.97 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.730 | $10.95 | Apr 3, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during tariff event on April 2?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Apr 2, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Tesla" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Apr 2, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Mar 23, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 21-28?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Mar 23, 2025 |
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | buy | 15 | $0.350 | $5.25 | Mar 15, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Mar 15, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?Yes | sell | 9.58 | $0.995 | $9.53 | Mar 14, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Fairness" during his DOJ appearance on Friday?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Mar 14, 2025 |
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his DOJ appearance on Friday?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 14, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his DOJ appearance on Friday?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Mar 14, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?Yes | buy | 9.59 | $0.730 | $7 | Mar 14, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 133.5 | $0.007 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 36.02 | $0.028 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "Pump" during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "TikTok" during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "Melania" during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Jerome Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the March meeting?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |