Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.5%. Yes opened at 36% on 29 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 29 Mar 2025 to 2 Apr 2025, the highest close was 36% on 29 Mar 2025 and the lowest 20.5% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 20.5% on 1 Apr 2025. $10.66K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 3, 11:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 29 Mar 2025 – 2 Apr 2025, chart shows 15%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2025 | 36.0% |
| 2 Apr 2025 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ivory Pioneer C540 | Yes | 890 |
| Jade Vector 03CE | Yes | 445 |
| Lunar Sphinx B36D | Yes | 180 |
| Tice-Nits | Yes | 170 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is expected to implement a fresh round of tariffs on April 2, 2025. It is anticipated he will make an announcement he has called "the big one." You can read more about that here: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-tariffs-april-2-liberation-day/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's main Tariff announcement on April 2, 2025. This market will be updated reflect precisely which event that is when Trump's schedule for that day becomes available on Roll Call (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. Warning: The order book will not be cleared before this clarification. The resolution source will be video of the press conference.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yiTFPN6SZsU
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-tariff-event-on-april-2
| Keen Atlas B2C6 | Yes | 115 |
| Bright Ledger 8946 | Yes | 65 |
| Ceethereal | Yes | 50 |
| Neon Sphinx 17D7 | Yes | 30 |
| Silver Beacon BC5E | Yes | 10 |
| Misty Falcon 5DC0 | Yes | 10 |
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