Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 40.54 | $0.760 | $30.81 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.110 |
| $5.5 |
| Feb 5, 2025 |
 2025 February hottest on record?Yes | sell | 47.03 | $0.040 | $1.88 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 59.09 | $0.870 | $51.41 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 58.42 | $0.880 | $51.41 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?No | sell | 76.92 | $0.740 | $56.92 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?No | sell | 100 | $0.770 | $77 | Feb 5, 2025 |
| 2025 February hottest on record?Yes | buy | 47.04 | $0.253 | $11.9 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?No | sell | 17.24 | $0.670 | $11.55 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 59.09 | $0.880 | $52 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 58.43 | $0.890 | $52 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?No | buy | 35.82 | $0.670 | $24 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?No | buy | 56.34 | $0.710 | $40 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on Mexico before March?No | buy | 93.75 | $0.320 | $30 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?No | buy | 72.46 | $0.690 | $50 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada before March?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.380 | $40 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 40.54 | $0.740 | $30 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Jan 24-31?Yes | buy | 110.42 | $0.498 | $55 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| DeepSeek banned in US before July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Jan 27, 2025 |