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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.393 | $0.13 | -$0.26 |
 Will Alberta join the US? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 157 | $0.954 | $149.78 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 0.44 |
| $0.043 |
| $0.01 |
| -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 157 |
| $0.960 |
| $150.72 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 159 | $0.860 | $136.74 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 287 | $0.520 | $149.24 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 287 | $0.520 | $149.24 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 8 | $0.840 | $6.72 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 45 | $0.978 | $44.01 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 312 | $0.480 | $149.76 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 312 | $0.480 | $149.76 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 156 | $0.957 | $149.29 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 156 | $0.958 | $149.45 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 76 | $0.969 | $73.64 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 76 | $0.966 | $73.42 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 217 | $0.690 | $149.73 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.041 | $3.69 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.020 | $1.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.792 | $27.72 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 138 | $0.980 | $135.24 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 188 | $0.156 | $29.33 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 188 | $0.155 | $29.14 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 163 | $0.826 | $134.64 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 301 | $0.046 | $13.85 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 155 | $0.960 | $148.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 155 | $0.959 | $148.64 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 154 | $0.938 | $144.45 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 43 | $0.550 | $23.65 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 187 | $0.540 | $100.98 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 151.48 | $0.540 | $81.8 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 46 | $0.450 | $20.7 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 46 | $0.450 | $20.7 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.400 | $15.2 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 97 | $0.390 | $37.83 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 161 | $0.988 | $159.07 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 167 | $0.955 | $159.48 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 165 | $0.965 | $159.23 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.043 | $2.8 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 151 | $0.960 | $144.96 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 233.44 | $0.043 | $10.04 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.188 | $1.5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 301 | $0.450 | $135.45 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 148 | $0.978 | $144.74 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 148 | $0.977 | $144.6 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 142 | $0.987 | $140.15 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 166 | $0.956 | $158.7 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 161 | $0.988 | $159.07 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 161 | $0.987 | $158.91 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 263 | $0.550 | $144.65 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 263 | $0.550 | $144.65 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 82 | $0.961 | $78.8 | May 31, 2026 |