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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? | Yes | 850 | $0.754 | $599.25 | -$41.78 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.150 | $1.2 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 390 |
| $0.880 |
| $372.45 |
| +$29.06 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 432 | $0.497 | $343.44 | +$128.76 |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 355 | $0.710 | $339.03 | +$86.98 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat? | Yes | 345 | $0.858 | $326.03 | +$30.13 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat? | Yes | 260 | $0.868 | $243.1 | +$17.4 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat? | Yes | 260 | $0.840 | $240.5 | +$22.1 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-15 House seat? | No | 250 | $0.850 | $233.88 | +$21.38 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MO-03 House seat? | No | 250 | $0.899 | $232.5 | +$7.6 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat? | Yes | 250 | $0.843 | $232.5 | +$21.76 |
 Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? | Yes | 299.98 | $0.753 | $232.48 | +$6.7 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat? | No | 250 | $0.830 | $228.75 | +$21.25 |
 Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat? | Yes | 250 | $0.820 | $226.25 | +$21.25 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat? | Yes | 260.33 | $0.770 | $222.58 | +$22.23 |
 Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat? | Yes | 240 | $0.770 | $220.8 | +$36.09 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? | Yes | 250 | $0.740 | $216.25 | +$31.25 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat? | Yes | 260 | $0.771 | $214.5 | +$14.1 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? | No | 250 | $0.720 | $206.25 | +$26.25 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? | No | 250 | $0.740 | $195 | +$10 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat? | Yes | 253 | $0.690 | $192.28 | +$17.71 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? | Yes | 225 | $0.690 | $187.88 | +$32.63 |
 Will the Republican Party win the VA-09 House seat? | Yes | 187.99 | $0.922 | $180.66 | +$7.28 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? | No | 255 | $0.660 | $172.13 | +$3.88 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | No | 3K | $0.141 | $168.05 | -$256.87 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat? | No | 230 | $0.730 | $164.45 | -$3.45 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.840 |
| $16.8 |
| 1d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | 5d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | 5d ago |
 Will Waymo launch in Tampa, FL by December 31 2026?No | sell | 76.45 | $0.085 | $6.5 | 5d ago |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.080 | $6.48 | 5d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.088 | $87.66 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 80 | $0.081 | $6.48 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.684 | $13.68 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Yes | sell | 20.28 | $0.279 | $5.67 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 114 | $0.110 | $12.54 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 26 | $0.110 | $2.86 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 6d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 40 | $0.110 | $4.4 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 155 | $0.150 | $23.25 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 34.85 | $0.129 | $4.48 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 11.07 | $0.149 | $1.65 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 20.33 | $0.138 | $2.8 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Yes | buy | 40.29 | $0.104 | $4.2 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.880 | $35.2 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 200.38 | $0.130 | $26 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.130 | $26 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 330 | $0.150 | $49.5 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.150 | $3.75 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.150 | $3.75 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 120 | $0.150 | $18 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 18 | $0.160 | $2.88 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 137 | $0.180 | $24.66 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 100.56 | $0.170 | $17.1 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 68.89 | $0.152 | $10.45 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 26 | $0.190 | $4.94 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 46 | $0.190 | $8.74 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.150 | $1.65 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.600 | $6.6 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | 6d ago |
 Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.290 | $14.79 | 9d ago |
| Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.280 | $8.4 | 9d ago |
 Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.84 | $0.089 | $3.18 | 9d ago |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.83 | $0.028 | $1.12 | 9d ago |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 75.34 | $0.013 | $1 | 9d ago |
 Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of August?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | 9d ago |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 on August 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.450 | $18 | 9d ago |