Latest trade
Sep 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 5:36 AM UTC.
SerDress is down $15.98 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 30 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-13 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 5:36 AM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 26 markets; 68.0% were buys. They run from Apr 11, 2026 UTC to Sep 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.130 | $8.93 | -$10.58 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes | buy | 45.46 | $0.150 | $6.82 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-13 08:49 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 05:36 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 05:36 UTC
polymarket positions
31 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-13 08:49 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $384.24 and losing ones cost $259.21 across 30 settled positions. 53.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $152 on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $78.88 on “US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Sep 2026. It has traded 43 markets. Its open positions are worth $20.41 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.150 |
| $5.5 |
| -$9.5 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 70.85 | $0.130 | $5.31 | -$3.9 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 150 | $0.140 | $0.68 | -$20.33 |
| buy |
| 54.54 |
| $0.150 |
| $8.18 |
| Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 207.12 | $0.003 | $0.62 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 218.39 | $0.003 | $0.66 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 31.61 | $0.003 | $0.09 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 92.88 | $0.003 | $0.28 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 154.23 | $0.001 | $0.15 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.005 | $1.25 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.140 | $21 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.130 | $19.5 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 369.17 | $0.004 | $1.48 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 11.88 | $0.004 | $0.05 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.004 | $0.24 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 926.35 | $0.004 | $3.71 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 112.6 | $0.004 | $0.45 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.004 | $0.08 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.120 | $30 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 54.64 | $0.539 | $29.45 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 26.85 | $0.372 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 145.36 | $0.601 | $87.35 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 62.98 | $0.058 | $3.65 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 137.02 | $0.058 | $7.95 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.270 | $10.8 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.209 | $26.13 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 357.14 | $0.021 | $7.5 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 132 | $0.062 | $8.18 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 168 | $0.062 | $10.42 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 154.23 | $0.041 | $6.32 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.222 | $55.5 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.120 | $9.6 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?Yes | sell | 146.45 | $0.370 | $54.19 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 53.95 | $0.371 | $20 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 29.07 | $0.688 | $20 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 55.88 | $0.996 | $55.66 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?Yes | buy | 146.46 | $0.273 | $40 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.028 | $10 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 55.89 | $0.179 | $10 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 70.85 | $0.130 | $9.21 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | sell | 70.35 | $0.131 | $9.22 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 70.35 | $0.649 | $45.69 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 55.05 | $0.830 | $45.69 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 55.06 | $0.710 | $39.09 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 251.11 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.