
Resolved No on 30 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 53% on 13 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 13 May 2026 to 30 Jun 2026, the highest close was 66% on 20 May 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 23.5% on 26 May 2026. $24.78K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 9:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 13 May 2026 – 30 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 May 2026 | 53.0% |
| 30 Jun 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spx-hit-jun-2026
| ljubavm888 | Yes | 200 |
| Vladimirforever | Yes | 188.49 |
| acal | Yes | 120.84 |
| bevvy | Yes | 49.99 |
| Aveen | Yes | 45.09 |
| BOT-S | Yes | 40.36 |
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