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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.420 | $3.69 | +$1.69 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.6 |
| $0.770 |
| $2.35 |
| +$0.35 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.92 | +$0.34 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.440 | $1.02 | -$0.98 |
| buy |
| 4 |
| $0.500 |
| $2 |
| 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | 10d ago |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 12d ago |
 Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.3M and 7.4M in July?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 12d ago |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 in August?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 Week of August 24 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | 20d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | 22d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 3.96 | $0.505 | $2 | 23d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 2.61 | $0.640 | $1.67 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 28d ago |
 Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?Yes | buy | 3.65 | $0.548 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.360 | $1.11 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.350 | $1.06 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.67 | $0.540 | $1.98 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.590 | $2.01 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.430 | $1.29 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 3 | $0.370 | $1.11 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.600 | $1.83 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.640 | $1.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 27, 2026 |