Latest trade
Oct 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:13 AM UTC.
Analytics
ChanceD6 is down $20.72 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 27 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-07 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:13 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 14 markets; 62.0% were buys. They run from Jun 24, 2026 UTC to Oct 9, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 8.4 | $0.119 | $0.35 | -$0.65 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | 14d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-07 03:10 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 05:13 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 05:13 UTC
polymarket positions
29 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-07 03:10 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $7.24 and losing ones cost $20.7 across 27 settled positions. 40.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.39 on “Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET” (Up); the largest loss, $5.26 on “Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET” (Down).
Its most recent trade on record was on 9 Oct 2026. It has traded 27 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.93 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 510 |
| $0.002 |
| $0.26 |
| -$0.76 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1.52 | $0.660 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 2.04 | $0.490 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.002 |
| $0.2 |
| 14d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | 14d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | 14d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | 14d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.002 | $0.02 | 14d ago |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | sell | 30.42 | $0.037 | $1.13 | 17d ago |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | 26d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 1 | $0.600 | $0.6 | 26d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 9.47 | $0.150 | $1.42 | 26d ago |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?No | buy | 204.46 | $0.010 | $2 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.1 | $0.080 | $0.89 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.093 | $0.85 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 2.86 | $0.790 | $2.26 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.100 | $0.83 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.910 | $0.97 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 1 | $0.560 | $0.56 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 0.34 | $0.950 | $0.32 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 2 | $0.690 | $1.38 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.300 | $0.6 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 2 | $0.690 | $1.38 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 2 | $0.690 | $1.38 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 5.99 | $0.840 | $5.03 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.130 | $1.82 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.860 | $0.98 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.