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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 38 | $0.977 | $37.13 | Jun 24, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 38 |
| $0.978 |
| $37.16 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.490 | $34.3 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.190 | $5.7 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.200 | $11.4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.280 | $16.24 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.820 | $18.86 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.820 | $18.86 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.270 | $9.72 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.937 | $38.42 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 54 | $0.720 | $38.88 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.200 | $7.2 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.120 | $5.28 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.120 | $4.32 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.280 | $6.44 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.250 | $5.75 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 42 | $0.920 | $38.64 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 1 | $0.410 | $0.41 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.090 | $6.84 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.100 | $7.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 44 | $0.380 | $16.72 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 81 | $0.410 | $33.21 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 48 | $0.841 | $40.37 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 2 | $0.140 | $0.28 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.140 | $6.3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.470 | $39.01 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.460 | $10.58 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.060 | $2.46 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.012 | $0.02 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.710 | $2.84 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 45 | $0.900 | $40.5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 45 | $0.900 | $40.5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.620 | $2.48 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.034 | $0.61 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 92 | $0.420 | $38.64 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 92.44 | $0.420 | $38.82 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 13 | $0.550 | $7.15 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 13 | $0.700 | $9.1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 47 | $0.956 | $44.93 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 47 | $0.953 | $44.79 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.041 | $1.44 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 75 | $0.550 | $41.25 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 95 | $0.480 | $45.6 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 141 | $0.193 | $27.21 | Jun 2, 2026 |