Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | No | 42.55 | $0.470 | $18.51 | -$1.49 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 60.77 | $0.150 | $9.12 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 39.42 |
| $0.468 |
| $15.37 |
| -$3.09 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 38.07 | $0.280 | $12.37 | +$1.71 |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | No | 40.42 | $0.150 | $5.92 | -$0.16 |
 Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | No | 30.77 | $0.650 | $4.51 | -$15.49 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat? | No | 66.25 | $0.071 | $3.64 | -$1.04 |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | No | 20.65 | $0.200 | $2.99 | -$1.14 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat? | Yes | 26.83 | $0.226 | $2.64 | -$3.43 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat? | No | 22.58 | $0.120 | $2.37 | -$0.34 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NJ-06 House seat? | Yes | 46.79 | $0.028 | $2.22 | +$0.91 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat? | Yes | 8 | $0.230 | $1.92 | +$0.08 |
 Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat? | Yes | 31.08 | $0.130 | $1.71 | -$2.33 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OR-05 House seat? | No | 23.07 | $0.150 | $1.5 | -$1.96 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NE-02 House seat? | No | 10.52 | $0.223 | $1.21 | -$1.14 |
 Will Dan McKee win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | 60.42 | $0.071 | $0.03 | -$4.29 |
| sell |
| 29.41 |
| $0.033 |
| $0.97 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the GA-06 House seat?Yes | sell | 555.15 | $0.024 | $13.54 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-06 House seat?Yes | buy | 555.15 | $0.033 | $18.32 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 14?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.030 | $3.36 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?No | buy | 20.65 | $0.200 | $4.13 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?No | buy | 40.42 | $0.150 | $6.08 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat?No | buy | 22.58 | $0.120 | $2.71 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat?Yes | buy | 31.08 | $0.130 | $4.04 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-06 House seat?Yes | buy | 46.79 | $0.028 | $1.31 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?No | buy | 32.38 | $0.320 | $10.36 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NE-02 House seat?No | buy | 10.52 | $0.223 | $2.35 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 60.77 | $0.310 | $18.84 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 48.47 | $0.150 | $7.27 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Dan McKee win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 60.42 | $0.072 | $4.32 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?No | buy | 39.42 | $0.468 | $18.46 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.230 | $1.84 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 10.32 | $0.249 | $2.57 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat?Yes | buy | 26.83 | $0.226 | $6.07 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?No | buy | 30.56 | $0.240 | $7.33 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 49.37 | $0.039 | $1.92 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OR-05 House seat?No | buy | 23.07 | $0.150 | $3.46 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?Yes | buy | 36.27 | $0.049 | $1.77 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat?No | buy | 66.25 | $0.071 | $4.68 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes | buy | 68.89 | $0.186 | $12.8 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?No | buy | 79.91 | $0.029 | $2.31 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | buy | 38.07 | $0.280 | $10.66 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Yes | buy | 8.87 | $0.433 | $3.84 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Yes | sell | 46.36 | $0.709 | $32.88 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.511 | $1.15 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?Yes | sell | 29.97 | $0.018 | $0.54 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.826 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETUp | buy | 160.2 | $0.515 | $82.51 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.135 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?No | sell | 1.16K | $0.072 | $83.94 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?No | buy | 4.62K | $0.080 | $369.79 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by Monday?No | sell | 387.99 | $0.837 | $324.65 | Jan 5, 2026 |