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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 112.36 | $0.089 | $3.43 | -$6.57 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 112.36 | $0.089 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2.27 |
| $0.880 |
| $2.19 |
| +$0.19 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 5.34 | $0.937 | $2.18 | -$2.82 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.950 |
| $9.5 |
| Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 17?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.962 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 5.34 | $0.937 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETDown | buy | 16.45 | $0.590 | $9.71 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETUp | sell | 11.33 | $0.960 | $10.88 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETUp | buy | 11.3 | $0.880 | $9.94 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.969 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4?Up | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.874 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down on December 14?Up | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Amazon reach $276 in November?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 16?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 16?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Open de Moselle, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Moez EcharguiAssche | buy | 3.9 | $0.770 | $3 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by November 30?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 20?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.921 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 255–269 times June 27–July 4?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.942 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Yankees vs. Red SoxYankees | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Jun 15, 2025 |