Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 313 | $0.260 | $289.53 | +$208.15 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?No | sell | 73 | $0.880 | $64.24 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 |
CalebFisher9798 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #141,696 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$334.15 observed lifetime PnL, 350 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 42.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xb85b3f7be912392127dfbadc69161ad9950d77db
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| Yes |
| 82 |
| $0.260 |
| $6.56 |
| -$14.76 |
| Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 74 | $0.740 | $5.55 | -$49.21 |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? | No | 1 | $0.240 | $0.96 | +$0.72 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 1 | $0.280 | $0.4 | +$0.12 |
 Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 0.42 | $0.790 | $0.27 | -$0.07 |
| sell |
| 299 |
| $0.290 |
| $86.71 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 89 | $0.450 | $40.05 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 305 | $0.460 | $140.3 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 394 | $0.610 | $240.34 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?No | sell | 625 | $0.870 | $543.75 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?No | sell | 76 | $0.170 | $12.92 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No | sell | 25 | $0.606 | $15.15 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?No | sell | 409 | $0.260 | $106.34 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?No | sell | 61 | $0.480 | $29.28 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?No | sell | 63 | $0.670 | $42.21 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?No | buy | 698 | $0.880 | $614.24 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?No | buy | 63 | $0.680 | $42.84 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round?No | sell | 249 | $0.900 | $224.1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?No | buy | 409 | $0.279 | $113.98 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?No | sell | 177 | $0.630 | $111.51 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round?No | buy | 249 | $0.890 | $221.61 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No | sell | 605 | $0.099 | $59.9 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?No | buy | 84 | $0.382 | $32.09 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?No | sell | 801 | $0.380 | $304.38 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 240 | $0.570 | $136.8 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 394 | $0.680 | $267.92 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 48 | $0.890 | $42.72 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?No | buy | 76 | $0.170 | $12.92 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the Houston Texans be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?No | sell | 202 | $0.590 | $119.18 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Houston Texans be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?No | sell | 172 | $0.590 | $101.48 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?No | sell | 186 | $0.540 | $100.44 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?No | buy | 424 | $0.430 | $182.32 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?No | buy | 438 | $0.450 | $197.1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 240 | $0.660 | $158.4 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Houston Texans be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?No | buy | 374 | $0.600 | $224.4 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No | buy | 401 | $0.184 | $73.78 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | sell | 178 | $0.750 | $133.5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | sell | 277 | $0.750 | $207.75 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?No | sell | 180 | $0.740 | $133.2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?No | buy | 180 | $0.750 | $135 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No | buy | 204 | $0.194 | $39.58 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?No | sell | 296 | $0.780 | $230.88 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?No | sell | 630 | $0.830 | $522.9 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?No | buy | 630 | $0.840 | $529.2 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | sell | 67 | $0.750 | $50.25 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | sell | 185 | $0.750 | $138.75 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No | sell | 264 | $0.750 | $198 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | buy | 707 | $0.750 | $530.25 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No | buy | 264 | $0.770 | $203.28 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?No | sell | 8 | $0.900 | $7.2 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.