Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 20% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 180 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 20% on 24 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 14 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 11% on 21 Jan 2026. $22.35K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 7:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 180 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 | 20.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date. If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-rsf-capture-khartoum-by-june-30
| MetabolicRift | Yes | 28.65 |
| HankS | Yes | 13.04 |
| Possible-Helicopter | Yes | 11.11 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 10 |
| Biggogo123 | Yes | 6.25 |
| Weepy-Item | Yes | 5 |
| Stormy-Cicada | Yes | 4.76 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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